Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000130 0.000143 0.000157 0.000172 0.000190 0.000209 0.000231
2025-11-09 0.000104 0.000123 0.000145 0.000172 0.000205 0.000243 0.000293
2025-11-16 0.000088 0.000109 0.000135 0.000169 0.000214 0.000270 0.000346
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000098 0.000126 0.000165 0.000218 0.000289 0.000393
2025-11-30 0.000069 0.000092 0.000123 0.000167 0.000231 0.000320 0.000456
2025-12-07 0.000064 0.000088 0.000121 0.000171 0.000244 0.000352 0.000526
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000081 0.000115 0.000167 0.000248 0.000370 0.000575
2025-12-21 0.000052 0.000075 0.000108 0.000161 0.000246 0.000378 0.000610
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000071 0.000106 0.000162 0.000254 0.000404 0.000677
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000069 0.000104 0.000163 0.000263 0.000431 0.000749
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.000065 0.000100 0.000161 0.000266 0.000448 0.000805
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000063 0.000098 0.000162 0.000274 0.000476 0.000883
2026-01-25 0.000037 0.000059 0.000095 0.000160 0.000278 0.000496 0.000953
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000057 0.000093 0.000159 0.000285 0.000523 0.001043
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000054 0.000089 0.000157 0.000287 0.000543 0.001119
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000051 0.000086 0.000153 0.000287 0.000555 0.001182
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000049 0.000085 0.000155 0.000298 0.000594 0.001311
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000048 0.000085 0.000158 0.000311 0.000639 0.001461
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000155 0.000312 0.000655 0.001545
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000043 0.000078 0.000149 0.000306 0.000656 0.001591
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000150 0.000314 0.000691 0.001730
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000151 0.000323 0.000729 0.001885
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000039 0.000073 0.000149 0.000324 0.000748 0.001993